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Enfin, dans la 5e circonscription de Seine-Maritime, le candidat socialiste Gérard Leseul a été élu au second tour avec 71,61% des voix face au RN Jean-Cyril Montier. /* RawalHost336x280 */ The UMP knew that it would lose the legislative elections, so its whole semblance of a campaign was a jumbled up defensive effort of saving furniture. However, the combined 40% for the left excluding the FG-PCF is superior to the result of the same parties in 1997 – the last left-wing victory – when these parties took 34.6% combined, or 44.5% with the PCF added. and none of them seem keen on leading a centrist reunification (besides Lagarde, but Morin would probably kill him in the process). In 2007, it was the center-right, now called the Republicans. We’re a long way from the 70+ triangulaires with the FN and the 133 total runoffs with the FN in 1997, but it is still a strong performance for the FN. Jean-Louis Borloo had his chance with the ARES, but he killed it himself and is far too erratic and weird to have a second shot. Otherwise, the MoDem has a solid chance in La Réunion-7, where Thierry Robert topped the poll with 37.8% against 22% for the UMP, and will most likely prevail in the runoff, probably with left-wing support. :), Pingback: France 2012 (Legislative): Runoff « World Elections. The centre, especially sans Bayrou, has no leader of worth capable of reunifying the centrist constellation. The current leadership and big thinkers of the UMP seem to believe that the reconquista of power lies with the far-right/populist right rather than the centre/centre-right (whether or not this is true is another matter), and, with things as they currently stand, the UMP will invariably tack hard to the right, in part a desperate bid to quickly kill off any Mariniste/frontiste momentum. Le Foll won a very strong 46% in the first round, against only 31.7% for Fillon’s former suppléant, the UMP candidate. François Guéant, the son of Claude Guéant, was the UMP candidate in Morbihan-4, where he won 25.8% against 26% for the Breton regionalist backed by EELV and the PS. Indeed, she won 43.5% by the first round, against only 25.8% for the UMP candidate. Solère seems to have decided to maintain his candidacy in the runoff, which will be closely fought between Guéant (who could benefit from the FN’s 5.3%) and Solère (who could gain some of the 8% cast for other DVD candidates). France uses a modified form of runoff voting for legislative elections. The FG won a very disappointing result. On a demandé à de jeunes électeurs, Tous les matins, recevez gratuitement la newsletter du HuffPost, Pour suivre les dernières actualités en direct sur Le HuffPost, cliquez ici, Avec la newsletter quotidienne du HuffPost, recevez par email les infos les plus importantes et les meilleurs articles du jour. (Your email id will not be displayed) It was the fourth time voters were asked to come to the polls in six weeks and their fatigue showed. Whether or not FN voters are particularly receptive to what can appear as desperation on the part of old UMP incumbents worried about their political futures is another matter. Jean Urbaniak, the former centre-right deputy for the constituency between 1993 and 1997, won only 7.9% of the vote, a very bad result. In Bouches-du-Rhône-5, she faced UMP incumbent and mayoral hopeful Renaud Muselier. Even with its substantial majority, Macron’s LREM didn’t do as well as polls had predicted. On that note, the use of the ‘Parti radical’ etiquette for candidates by the Ministry has been a terrible mess – some Radical candidates are counted as UMP, others as Radicals even when they’re UMP candidates… France remains a joke when it comes to official electoral statistics, and the continued use of stupid broad labels arbitrarily given to candidates is horrible. Thanks for the analysis and info! — Ipsos did one of its pre-election polls which broke down voters and non-voters based on demographic and other categories. This is certainly a race to follow, like the race next door in Morbihan-1, where the villepiniste mayor of Vannes and incumbent member François Goulard is in much difficulty after a poor result (32.6%) in the first round. Centre-MoDem 1.76% (-5.85%) winning 0 seats, Ecologists 0.96% (+0.16%) winning 0 seats, Regionalists and nationalists 0.56% (+0.05%) winning 0 seats, Parliamentary Left (PS+DVG+PRG+EELV+FG) 46.78% (+11.22%) winning 25 seats, Parliamentary Right (UMP+DVD+NC+PRV+AC) 34.67% (-10.91%) winning 11 seats, The French presidency and presidential elections, Race, Ethnicity and Language in South Africa, ← Mini-Guide to the 2012 French legislative elections, http://www.liberation.fr/politiques/2012/06/08/legislatives-tous-les-resultats-du-1er-tour_824715, France 2012 (Legislative): Runoff « World Elections, Primaries, leadership contests or internal party votes. The FN (11.7%) performed poorly in a constituency where it can normally poll much better. In 2007, the first round was a massive blue tsunami which allowed the UMP to think that it could easily win over 300-350 seats and totally crush the left. Asensi could face a runoff against Stéphane Gatignon, the ex-PCF EELV mayor of Sevran (backed by the PS) who won 25.5%. Hervé Novelli, the leader of the UMP’s liberal wing, will likely lose in Indre-et-Loire-4 where the PS won 39.7% against 35.9% for him. ), but from a cursory glance at the main battlegrounds, the PS is in a very strong position. Disgraced foreign minister Michèle Alliot-Marie is in trouble in the Pyrénées-Atlantiques-6 even if she came out on top in the first round with 35.4% against 31.6% for the PS. Bayrou is too proud and independent to accept his political death, but political death is the fate of the MoDem. She took 44.8% by the first round, against only 23.6% for the UMP candidate. your election in our lists,  Paul-Marie Coûteaux, a former Eurosceptic MEP who ran for the FN in Haute-Marne-2 failed badly in a constituency where he should or could have done much, much better. But he is in a better position, because the UMP (17.6%) will likely support him, a little thank you for his silent endorsement of Sarkozy over Hollande. Frédéric Cuvillier and Delphine Batho won by the first round, as did Bernard Cazeneuve in Manche-4 – with no less than 55.4%! Stéphane Le Foll, the new agriculture minister, was running for the umpteenth time in Sarthe-4, whose tenant since 1981 was François Fillon, who had defeated Le Foll by the first round in 2007. Weird successes in places which nobody has ever heard of won’t save the party, especially with the likely defeat of its leaders. A week is indeed a long time in politics, so it would be unwise to “sell the bear’s skin before killing it”. Royal won 32% in the first round, against 28.9% for Falorni. Elle a oscillé entre 81 et 84% dans les circonscriptions hors Ile-de-France. Dans cette circonscription ancrée à droite, Anne-Laure Blin est donc bien partie pour succéder à Jean-Charles Taugourdeau (LR), député depuis 2002, qui a démissionné après sa réélection comme maire de Beaufort-en-Anjou. Whether this is a significant advantage for the right in the upcoming reconstruction/civil war is another matter. In Guadeloupe-4, the overseas minister Victorin Lurel (PS), who is wildly popular on the island, won no less than 67.2% by the first round against a paltry 23% for Marie-Luce Penchard, the former UMP overseas minister and daughter of Lucette Michaux-Chevry, the old strongwoman of the right in Guadeloupe and mayor of Basse-Terre. In other cases, some of them expected other more surprising, EELV-PS candidates managed to defeat weaker dissidents, most notably in Haute-Garonne (Toulouse-Balma). Another high-profile Socialist is in some amount of trouble. A counter-demonstration organised by the Gaullist party on 29 May in central Paris gave De Gaulle the confidence to dissolve the National Assembly and call for parliamentary elections for 23 June 1968. The race which was the topic of so much conversation on June 10 and will continue to be one of the top races in the country is Charente-Maritime-1 (La Rochelle). While it is a significant improvement on 2007 (which seems to be the FN’s main spin on its result, which is a ridiculously dishonest spin) and even 2002, it falls below the FN’s record 15% in the 1997 legislative elections. Pierre Moscovici, the finance minister, will need to wait until June 17 to win reelection in Doubs-4, a traditionally left-leaning seat he had gained from the right in 2007. Election legislative vs Elections legislatives - Schrijf 2 zoekwoorden en klik op FIGHT. ( Log Out /  She will win very easily.   In 2007, there was only one triangulaire, largely because the far-right National Front (FN), usually the third party which partook in most triangulaires in the past, was crushed at the polls. The PRG could win about 10 seats, with an outside shot at reaching 15 seats.     Refund Policy, If your election for the years 2016, 2017, 2018 is not included here and you want us to add In the Bouches-du-Rhône-1, Valérie Boyer, another UMP mayoral contender and major figure of the. Since the calendar was shuffled in 2000, the legislative elections have become, for the average voters, much less important than in the past. The FG candidate had held this seat for the PCF between 1997 and 2002, when he had won in a triangulaire. This year, she will not owe her likely reelection on June 17 solely to her huge margin in Saint-Pierre-des-Corps. — À la Réunion, elle a même privé de victoire Karine Lebon (union des gauches) arrivée confortablement en tête du premier tour avec 52,15% des voix, devant la divers droite Audrey Fontaine (15,83%). Hence, PCF candidates placing second behind PS candidates have almost always bowed out in the PS’ favour, sometimes allowing them to win unopposed in the runoff. In Corse-du-Sud-2, Camille de Rocca Serra, the UMP incumbent in a constituency which has long been the personal preserve of the Rocca Serra dynasty, faces a tough runoff. In the Hauts-de-Seine-1, Roland Muzeau has been defeated by the PS (32.5 vs 29.8) while in the 11th constituency, FG incumbent Marie-Hélène Amiable lost out to the PS by a very short margin (29.9 vs 29.2). 2. Les députés sont élus au suffrage universel direct par les électeurs français inscrits sur les listes électorales. This means that the UMP will come out of this in slightly better shape than the RPR-UDF did in 1981. The UMP’s official line on the matter remains the ni-ni, neither PS nor FN. In Rhône-14, the FG had no chance at holding this open seat (and redistricted in a way favourable to the PS, not the FG). He will win very easily in the runoff after almost winning in the first round. A lot of UMP candidates in tough runoff situations against the PS find themselves dependent on FN voters. Though the FN’s result is far from spectacular, the outside chance that the FN will win one or more seat and a not insignificant nuisance power on the UMP, will cement the FN’s renewed presence in the political landscape. No amount of abuse and name-calling from Solférino seems to stop him at this point. On its own, it did badly – only marginally better than Eva Joly on April 22 – but thanks to the PS’ generosity in November of last year, it will now find itself with about 15-20 members and a good chance at forming an independent parliamentary group. FG/PCF incumbents in legislative elections usually face first round PS opposition. En cliquant sur « S'inscrire », je reconnais avoir pris connaissance de la, des municipales et de la nomination du gouvernement en juillet. your election in our lists,  Good luck to the centre in whatever they do, because God knows they’ll need all the luck they can get. qui a démissionné de son poste à la 11e circonscription des Yvelines. Abstention : le vote doit-il devenir obligatoire ? Two UMP candidates, including an incumbent, who placed third in the first round, have said that they are considering dropping out of their triangulaires in the FN’s favour, to prevent a PS victory. Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. If your election for the years 2016, 2017, 2018 is not included here and you want us to add In the event that no candidate has been elected by the first round, a runoff is held a week later opposing all candidates who won over 12.5% of registered voters (potential votes), or, in the case that only one or no candidate has won over 12.5% of registered voters, the top two candidates. Elections Législatives Législatives partielles : la droite et la gauche se partagent les six circonscriptions en jeu Comme au premier tour, l'abstention a de nouveau été très forte. Dans le Maine-et-Loire, c’est sans surprise la candidate LR Anne-Laure Blin qui arrive en tête avec 25% des suffrages, devançant la candidate écologiste d’union de la gauche Daphnée Raveneau (22,8%), sur fond de très faible participation (17,8% des inscrits). Electionsite.org provides targeted and affordable advertising for advertisers. A similar phenomenon happened in 1967, when the left was able to turn a mediocre first round into a successful second round. He is out by the first round, with only 19%, while the UMP incumbent took a strong 45.7% and will win handily. Le résultat définitif de l’élection législative dans la 1re circonscription de l’Hérault, où se situe Montpellier, est tombé : la candidate de la République en Marche Patricia Mirallès a remporté le scrutin avec 65,69% des voix face à France Jamet du Front Nationale, avec 34,31%. It is because of this deal with the PS, signed in November 2011 and which the PS is probably regretting now, that EELV stands a good chance of winning more than the 15 seats necessary to form a parliamentary group on its own. He won a very strong 43.5% in the first round against 20.6% for the PS and 18.9% for the FG. In the second round, the candidate winning a plurality of the votes is elected. DVD 12 Mélenchon, on April 22, had been able to speak to a wider electorate than just the core PCF vote, so we should have expected a good part of Mélenchon’s voters – a good number of them being traditional PS voters – to return to their traditional home (the PS) as early as June 10. Any commentary which describes this as an underwhelming result for either the PS or the left is off the mark. The UMP candidate won 20.5%, while the FN still managed 16.3%. Email The centre, as always, finds itself dispersed. Natalia Pouzireff (LREM) : "C'est bien que chacun se fasse vacciner" contre la grippe, Législatives partielles : un premier tour marqué par une abstention massive et la déroute de LREM, Une élection législative partielle dans les Yvelines attire tous les regards, "Ça m'a petit à petit beaucoup déçu" : ces députés démissionnaires qui préfèrent être maires. And, of course, Mélenchon’s much talked about defeat in Pas-de-Calais-11. The NC will emerge as the strongest force of the centrist constellation, but the likely reelection of Jean-Christophe Lagarde (a major surprise) will promise an internal battle against the party leader, Hervé Morin, Lagarde’s top rival. Only Jacqueline Fraysse (Hauts-de-Seine-4), Marie-George Buffet (Seine-Saint-Denis-4, but by only 3 points) and François Asensi (Seine-Saint-Denis-11) saved their seats in the Parisian region. Sylvia Pinel, a young PRG junior minister, faced a tough constituency – she narrowly picked up Tarn-et-Garonne-2 from the UMP in 2007 – but she can laugh her way to the runoff. google_ad_client = "ca-pub-9171045836463060"; We have already seen the impact of the FN’s result on the UMP. //--> An overview of the French electoral system is presented here. MRC 4 Mélenchon’s voters, with 62% showing up, posted good turnout levels, but did this not help the FG, which kept the support of only 44% of Mélenchon’s April 22 voters (against 38% who voted PS and 9% who voted EELV). Change ). Claude Gewerc, the president of the Picardy region, is in a tough fight against the UMP incumbent Édouard Courtial in Oise-7, where Courtial took 36.5% against 32.5% for Gewerc. The UMP will lose a few high-profile members, but besides NKM and a few others I might have forgotten, no prominent leadership material will be defeated. The elimination of the UMP’s Sally Chadjaa (19.5%) means that the runoff will oppose Royal and Falorni. The right’s voters are, on the whole, resigned to a left-wing majority, and it is unlikely that a whole slew of right-wingers who did not vote in the first round will miraculously show up to prevent a large left-wing majority. Bravo @sandraregol (Vitry Alfortville) et @draveneau1 (Saumur) ainsi qu'à Frédéric Hilbert (Colmar) qui se qualifient pour le second tour dans des législatives partielles dans un contexte difficile !Dimanche 27, faisons entrer l'écologie à l'Assemblée ! The victory or not of this Corsican nationalist, which would be an historical milestone, depends on the behaviour of those who backed a DVG candidate (16.8%) and those who backed Dominique Bucchini, the FG president of the regional assembly who took only 10.9%. However, the Ministry has classified both Reiss and Leonetti as UMP candidates, so other sites which are using the Ministry’s official ‘standards’ count them as UMP winners. I would tend to place Marine as the underdog, which is probably exactly what she wants to be seen as. Michel Vauzelle, the president of the PACA region and incumbent in the Bouches-du-Rhône-16 won 38% in the first round, against 29% for the FN and only 22.6% for the UMP’s Roland Chassain, who he had defeated in 2007. The PS won 32.9%, while Collard utterly crushed the UMP incumbent who managed a paltry 23.9%. Click Here for Registration. google_ad_client = "ca-pub-9171045836463060"; : He won 33% in the first round, and will face the moderate nationalist Jean-Christophe Angelini who won a somewhat underwhelming 21.2%. The FN is qualified for 32 theoretical triangulaires and I believe a total of 61 candidates of the FN are qualified for the runoff, in a good number of cases at the UMP’s expense. This time around, the Socialists and their allies won only 45 seats, a near-wipeout. Stéphane Ravier, the FN leader in Marseille, won 29.9% in the aforementioned contest against the PS incumbent Sylvie Andrieux in northern Marseille, but Ravier will probably not win. It should obviously keep away from triumphalism in the upcoming week, but I feel as if the chances of a 1967/2007 “corrective” which would see a narrower than expected victory for the left in the second round(s) to be small. Courtial can hope to gain most of the 18.5% of voters who backed the FN. Marine Le Pen won 42.4%, an excellent result, and took over 48% in her political homebase of Hénin-Beaumont. DLR 2 I covered the stakes, the parties and the major races in a preview post here. Centre-MoDem 1.76% (-5.85%) winning 0 seats EELV is thus placed in a fairly ironic position. ... AFP LREM a perdu son seul siège en jeu, et a échoué à se qualifier au second tour lors de ces élections législatives marquées par une abstention extrême. Sous la Cinquième … The PS won 25.2% against 23.5% for Bompard. In Roubaix-Wattrelos, the PS incumbent-turned-dissident defeated the EELV candidate backed by the PS. The MoDem’s other non-incumbent candidates won paltry results, even stronger ones like Rodolphe Thomas (Caen-Hérouville) or Gilles Artigues (Saint-Étienne nord) did fairly badly. DLR presidential candidate Nicolas Dupont-Aignan should hold his constituency, Essonne-8, fairly easily. Dans la deuxième circonscription de La Réunion, Karine Lebon, à la tête d'une liste d'union de la gauche, l'a largement emporté (71,96%) sur son adversaire soutenue par la droite, Audrey Fontaine (28,04%). She faced the dissident candidacy of a local Socialist, Olivier Falorni. If you want to have your ads on Electionsite.org website click here. Cette chambre a eu plusieurs dénominations au cours de l'histoire, notamment: Assemblée législative sous la Révolution, Chambre des députés sous la Restauration, la Monarchie de Juillet et la IIIe République, puis enfin Assemblée nationale sous les IVe et Ve Républiques. The first round of legislative elections were held in France on June 10, 2012; with a second round being held on June 17, 2012. The FN, which polled 16.3%, is unlikely to save Muselier, although this race will be close. Le gouvernement relance le débat, Avec Castaner, le groupe LREM se range derrière le choix du président, Un an après l’incendie de Lubrizol, ils racontent leur 26 septembre 2019, Le chien de Jennifer Aniston a fait passer un message pour la présidentielle américaine, “Dieu merci”, le tic de langage préféré de Jean Castex, Jean-Marie Bigard, un “abruti total” pour François Cluzet, Cette pique de Dupond-Moretti ne va pas arranger ses relations avec les magistrats, L’Île d’Oléron traversée par une tornade, quelques dégâts, Pourquoi Macron a voulu une semaine de congé paternité obligatoire, Cette nouvelle attraction chinoise est aussi insolite que vertigineuse, Ce présentateur météo a vécu le moment le plus embarrassant de sa carrière, “Night-clubbeuse”? EELV stands a chance at forming an independent parliamentary group, with a wide range between 10 and 20 seats, although I think they could narrowly break the 15 seat threshold needed to form a group. Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius, who had only narrowly missed out on winning reelection by the first round in 2007, won 52.8% in Seine-Maritime-4, sealing a first round win in a safe PS seat centered around the proletarian hinterland of Rouen, notably Elbeuf and Quevilly. Marie-Arlette Carlotti, a new junior minister, was ultimately the only cabinet minister with a truly tough race on her hands. The FG found itself swept up in a PS dynamic in the first round, whereby left-wing voters, by and large, decided to confirm their May 6 vote by helping Hollande and the PS win an absolute majority on their own. DVD 3.51% (+1.04%) winning 1 seat If your election for the years 2016, 2017, 2018 is not included here and you want us to add ;). Si sa candidature avait créé quelques dissensions au sein de LR local, Yves Hemedinger, ancien premier adjoint de Gilbert Meyer, ressort largement en tête de ce premier tour avec 45,39% des voix. Jean Arthuis, the leader of the AC, is a dusty old Senator which nobody has ever heard of and who is more reflective of Third Republic parliamentary politics than twenty-first century image-driven politics. Il affrontera le candidat du RN Jean-Cyril Montier (18,01%), seul qualifié au 2e tour, alors que la candidate LREM est arrivée troisième avec seulement 10,72% des suffrages. Other prominent UMP or NC incumbents including Eric Ciotti, Christian Estrosi, François Baroin, Dominique Bussereau, François Sauvadet, Bruno Le Maire, Luc Chatel, Hervé Morin, Eric Woerth, Bernard Accoyer, Christian Jacob and Valérie Pécresse are all favoured for reelection. reserved by electionsite.org     Developed and Hosted by François Bayrou was not thought to be in any trouble in his old seat in Pyrénées-Atlantiques-2, which he has held since 1988 with little trouble. Guéant came out ahead of Solère in this safe right-wing constituency, with 30.4% against 26.9% for Solère, while the PS also qualified for the runoff, though with only 22.1%. However, the FN can content itself with two factoids: its main star candidates did very well, and the FN will keep a strong nuisance power on the UMP. is far from being thorough in a way that I would like. google_ad_height = 280; Braillard should go on to defeat the UMP incumbent easily in the runoff. Voters in France, which held a presidential election on Sunday, April 23, 2017, and a presidential runoff vote on May 7, 2017, returned to the polls for a legislative election held on June 11 and 18, 2017.

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